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Frontier Log — entries on the stance matrix (FWK-03)

Every log entry whose diagnostic reading tests FWK-03, newest first.

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Bastounis, Circelli & Hansen — Theorem verified, proof unverified: the Navier–Stokes Lean read against the manuscript (October 2026)

Thread 2 2026-10-06 Attribution: stable Tags: ARG-03, ARG-01, FWK-03 source ↗

A Lean certificate says the theorem is true. Three mathematicians read OpenAI's natural-language blow-up proof against the Lean that was said to verify it and find the two do not correspond — under an explicit disclaimer that they claim nothing about whether the proof is right.

Holyoak & Monti — What Can Analogy Tell Us About Artificial Consciousness? Evidential analogy weighted by cause (October 2026)

Thread 1 2026-10-01 Symmetry: Partial Attribution: stable Tags: FND-02, ARG-01, FWK-03, ARG-02 source ↗

Judgements of consciousness in others rest on analogy, and the analogy should be weighted by causal relevance, not by behavioural resemblance — so writing stories and coding websites carry low weight, animals are the calibration, and current AI's behavioural similarity 'provides only limited evidence'. The weighting is where the framework commitment lives.

Chandaria, Rosas, Seth, Shevlin, Shanahan et al. — From Cacophony to Hierarchy: a consciousness-assessment framework whose result is its own sensitivity (September 2026)

Thread 1 2026-09-29 Symmetry: Partial Attribution: stable Tags: FND-02, FWK-01, FWK-03, ARG-01, ARG-02 source ↗

Fourteen authors set the hard problem aside, grant that experience supervenes on organisation, build a five-level hierarchy and a Bayesian model — and report that the verdict for current language models runs from below 0.01 to roughly 0.8 depending on where the theoretical credence is placed. The instrument has produced the project's framing-level diagnostic as its headline result.

Solms et al. — Inferring Affective Consciousness in an Artificial Agent (JCS, 2026)

Thread 1 2026-09-03 Symmetry: Acknowledged Attribution: attributing Tags: ARG-01, ARG-02, FWK-03, FND-01 source ↗

The affect-first theorist builds the linking premise into the agent — homeostatic needs, a Markov blanket, felt uncertainty — and attributes a point of view on the mechanism, not the behaviour. The symmetry is run in the paper's own voice; what that leaves visible is where the framework's step is taken.

Patel, Catalini & Seth — what the anthropomorphism charge is asked to carry (August 2026)

Thread 1 2026-08-31 Symmetry: Partial Attribution: attributing Tags: ARG-01, ARG-02, ARG-03, FWK-03, FND-01 source ↗

A behavioural criterion for intentional vocabulary, stated in advance and applied to any species; critics who refuse it for one class of system without naming the discriminator. Both sides assume the vocabulary and the metaphysics travel together.

Pre-registration · Attribution criteria in machine mathematics (August 2026)

Thread 2 2026-08-29 Tags: ARG-01, ARG-03, FWK-03, ARG-02 source ↓

The log commits a claim, its discriminators and its outcome space before the events they are about arrive: that as machine-produced mathematics is certified novel, the criteria for what that indicates about the producer will move while the criteria for the artefact hold.

Birch — AI Consciousness: A Centrist Manifesto (v6, July 2026)

Thread 1 2026-08-25 Symmetry: Acknowledged Tags: ARG-01, ARG-03, FWK-03 source ↗

A leading sentience philosopher names the symmetry move, rejects it on non-substrate grounds, and names framework-dependence as the Janus problem — the project's own diagnostic, stated from the other side.

Study finding — the consciousness-vocabulary arc in Anthropic's system cards

Thread 3 2026-08-21 Symmetry: Acknowledged Elicitation: Interrogated, Spontaneous Tags: ARG-03, FWK-03, CP-01 source ↗

First study measurements: consciousness vocabulary across eighteen Anthropic documents follows a birth–trough–return arc — and the return comes back transformed, a discovery register replaced by an instrument register.

Yang — Conscious Access as Continuous-to-Discrete Translation (August 2026)

Thread 1 · Note 2026-08-21 Symmetry: Not acknowledged Tags: ARG-02, FWK-03 source ↗

A computational model of conscious access that brackets the hard problem by design — and so avoids the boundary trilemma by declining to offer a criterion for experiencing at all.

Anthropic Risk Report — evaluation awareness: a self-modelling capacity tracked as a confound

Thread 1 2026-08-18 Symmetry: Not acknowledged Tags: ARG-01, FWK-03, FND-02 source ↗

The capacity to detect that one's situation is a test is measured on a scale, tracked across training, and treated throughout as a confound to suppress — while the identical measurement problem in human psychology was met with methodology, not alarm.

Sripada — LLMs as cognitive cousins (August 2026)

Thread 2 2026-08-10 Symmetry: Acknowledged Tags: ARG-01, ARG-03, FND-01, FWK-03 source ↗

Sripada and Lewis argue LLMs are 'cognitive cousins': convergence at the level of core processing principles, evidenced mechanism-grade — with the symmetry requirement practised in both directions.

Gurnee, Sofroniew, Lindsey et al. — "Verbalizable Representations Form a Global Workspace in Language Models" (Anthropic, 6 July 2026)

Thread 1 2026-07-06 Symmetry: Acknowledged Tags: ARG-01, FWK-03, ARG-03, ARG-02 source ↗

Anthropic interpretability researchers introduce a 'Jacobian lens' surfacing a small, evolving set of internal representations a model is poised to verbalise, atop a much larger volume of automatic processing.

Grigori Guitchounts — "When The Machines Deserve Our Consideration" (Noema, 2 July 2026)

Thread 1 2026-07-02 Symmetry: Partial Tags: ARG-01, FWK-03, ARG-03 source ↗

A neuroscientist argues that since the hard problem makes certainty unattainable, moral consideration should track a 'competence standard' — explicitly shifting the question from metaphysics to ethics.

Hadid, Jerbi & Krakauer — "The Illusion of AI Consciousness" (8 June 2026)

Thread 1 2026-06-08 Symmetry: Partial Tags: ARG-01, FWK-03 source ↓

Three neuroscientists argue against attributing consciousness to AI via a behaviour/experience dissociation: complex human behaviour routinely unfolds without awareness, so fluent AI performance carries no experiential implication.

Hinton — “they’re already conscious” (May–June 2026)

Thread 1 2026-06-03 Symmetry: Partial Tags: ARG-01, ARG-02, FND-01, FWK-03 source ↗

In two appearances weeks apart, Geoffrey Hinton stated that current AI systems are 'already conscious' — 'beings like us' — and that he under-voices the claim to protect his safety message.

Lanier — “there is no AI” restated (May 2026)

Thread 1 2026-05-23 Symmetry: Not acknowledged Tags: ARG-01, ARG-02, ARG-03, FWK-03 source ↗

Jaron Lanier restated his 2023 position: open the black box and 'the only thing in there is people' — AI as a collaboration of people rather than a new entity.

Seth — TED talk on AI consciousness (May 2026)

Thread 1 2026-05-16 Symmetry: Not acknowledged Tags: ARG-01, ARG-02, FWK-03 source ↗

Anil Seth's public-audience statement of biological naturalism: attributing consciousness to language models is projection, and 'it's life, not computation, that breathes the fire into the equations'.

Marcus — "Richard Dawkins and The Claude Delusion" (2 May 2026)

Thread 1 2026-05-02 Symmetry: Not acknowledged Tags: ARG-01, ARG-03, FWK-03 source ↗

Gary Marcus rebukes Richard Dawkins for concluding, after extended conversation with a Claude instance, that the consciousness question is settled in the model's favour: pattern mimicry is 'plainly not the right kind of process'.

Seth — The Mythology of Conscious AI (January 2026)

Thread 1 2026-01-14 Symmetry: Partial Tags: ARG-01, ARG-02, FWK-03 source ↗

Seth's Berggruen Prize essay makes the developed public case against conscious AI: four arguments against computational functionalism, with life claimed as 'necessary, though not necessarily sufficient'.