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Frontier Log — entries on the epistemological foundation (FND-02)

Every log entry whose diagnostic reading tests FND-02, newest first.

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Holyoak & Monti — What Can Analogy Tell Us About Artificial Consciousness? Evidential analogy weighted by cause (October 2026)

Thread 1 2026-10-01 Symmetry: Partial Attribution: stable Tags: FND-02, ARG-01, FWK-03, ARG-02 source ↗

Judgements of consciousness in others rest on analogy, and the analogy should be weighted by causal relevance, not by behavioural resemblance — so writing stories and coding websites carry low weight, animals are the calibration, and current AI's behavioural similarity 'provides only limited evidence'. The weighting is where the framework commitment lives.

Chandaria, Rosas, Seth, Shevlin, Shanahan et al. — From Cacophony to Hierarchy: a consciousness-assessment framework whose result is its own sensitivity (September 2026)

Thread 1 2026-09-29 Symmetry: Partial Attribution: stable Tags: FND-02, FWK-01, FWK-03, ARG-01, ARG-02 source ↗

Fourteen authors set the hard problem aside, grant that experience supervenes on organisation, build a five-level hierarchy and a Bayesian model — and report that the verdict for current language models runs from below 0.01 to roughly 0.8 depending on where the theoretical credence is placed. The instrument has produced the project's framing-level diagnostic as its headline result.

McClelland — from consciousness to valence, the tractable question (AISB 2026 / arXiv, August 2026)

Thread 1 2026-08-26 Symmetry: Partial Tags: ARG-03, FND-02, ARG-01 source ↗

Accept that the consciousness question is intractable, then move the moral criterion to something measurable — valence-if-conscious. The evidence class for the new criterion is the one the paper's own confound list disqualifies.

Anthropic Risk Report — concealment as a measured capability stack, and models are bad at it

Thread 1 2026-08-18 Symmetry: Not acknowledged Tags: ARG-01, ARG-03, FND-02 source ↗

Keeping something to yourself, decomposed into four measured components — and the measured finding is that models leak: stealth collapses the moment reasoning is visible, and a human specialist beats the best model decisively at judging what would work.

Anthropic Risk Report — evaluation awareness: a self-modelling capacity tracked as a confound

Thread 1 2026-08-18 Symmetry: Not acknowledged Tags: ARG-01, FWK-03, FND-02 source ↗

The capacity to detect that one's situation is a test is measured on a scale, tracked across training, and treated throughout as a confound to suppress — while the identical measurement problem in human psychology was met with methodology, not alarm.

Anthropic Risk Report — misalignment defined over an unobservable interior

Thread 1 2026-08-18 Symmetry: Not acknowledged Tags: FND-02, ARG-01, ARG-04 source ↗

A safety architecture defines its central term over an interior that behaviour cannot settle — adjudicated by an idealised observer with instruments that 'may not currently exist' — because a purely behavioural definition would let a competent concealer out through the front door.

Yglesias — "Nobody knows what they're talking about on AI consciousness" (9 June 2026)

Thread 1 2026-06-09 Symmetry: Acknowledged Tags: ARG-01, FND-02, CP-01 source ↗

Responding to Ted Chiang, Yglesias argues that public verdicts on AI consciousness are issued without a theory of consciousness to back them — and quotes Skinner's symmetric requirement in full.